After the short-term survey was released, the 10-year Japanese government bond futures rose to 142.51.Bank of Japan: The index of small non-manufacturers rose for the second consecutive quarter, reaching the highest level since August 1991.CICC: Cloud and terminal AI landing In 2025, the localization of semiconductors and components ushered in a new cycle. According to CICC's research report, in 2024, semiconductors and components as a whole were in the upward stage of prosperity. It is expected that inventory, supply and demand will stabilize in 2025, and AI cloud and terminal demand will land, and domestic elements will usher in a new cycle. It is expected that in 2025, the AI replacement tide is expected to accelerate the downstream demand growth of the semiconductor design sector. We are optimistic about the demand expansion of cloud and end-side computing chips driven by AI, and the alpha level of individual stocks is optimistic about the pull of product structure expansion on the performance of related companies, and it is suggested to pay attention to the investment opportunities brought by mergers and acquisitions for some tracks. It is expected that the supply and demand of chip manufacturing will approach a balance in 2025, and the capacity utilization rate will remain at a reasonable level; Among them, the research and development of advanced process manufacturing is expected to continue to advance, driving the development of equipment, parts, materials and design tools.
The "unlimited price" for a single plot of high-quality land in Beijing has gradually started. After only half a month, Beijing once again auctioned a single plot of land exceeding 10 billion yuan. On December 12, the Wanquan Temple plot outside the southwest second ring road of Fengtai, Beijing was acquired by Zhonghai for 11.054 billion yuan. So far, the total number of land auctions in Beijing has reached 40 this year, and the total amount of land transfer fees has exceeded 150 billion yuan. It is worth mentioning that the future commercial housing sales of this plot are not limited. The industry unanimously believes that the cancellation of the double limit of land price and house price shows that the one with the highest price is becoming a new trend of high-quality land auction in Beijing, and on the other hand, it is a powerful performance of returning the property market to the market. (beijing business today)Ministry of National Defense: There is no need for the Japanese side to be frightened. On the morning of December 13th, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, released news about the recent military-related issues. Reporter: Japanese Prime Minister Shi Pomao recently delivered a policy address, saying that the current international order is facing major challenges. Chinese aircraft carriers sail in the waters close to Japan's territorial waters, and carrier-based aircraft have conducted thousands of take-off and landing trainings in the Pacific Ocean; Based on the national security strategy, Japan will greatly strengthen its defense forces. What is China's comment on this? Wu Qian: The so-called "China military threat" was hyped by the Japanese side only to cover up its usual trick of getting rid of the shackles of the peaceful constitution and returning to the old road of military expansion. As a matter of fact, the diplomatic and defense departments of China and Japan have been maintaining communication on air and sea security issues. There is absolutely no need for the Japanese side to be jittery and nervous. The publication of these data just proves that the Japanese side has been tracking, monitoring and interfering with Chinese ships and aircraft at close range for a long time, endangering the safety of Chinese ships and aircraft and easily causing sea and air safety problems. In recent years, despite the opposition of the international community, Japan has gone further and further on the road of military expansion, which has aroused strong concern among neighboring countries and the international community. We urge Japan to draw lessons from history, be cautious in the field of military security and do more things that are conducive to maintaining regional peace and stability. China is willing to continue to maintain communication with Japan on properly handling air and sea emergencies, and hopes that Japan will move in the same direction with China, take the overall situation into consideration, take the right path, and jointly safeguard the stability of the air and sea situation and the overall situation of Sino-Japanese relations.CITIC Securities: The short-term copper price rebound has a foundation, and it pays attention to the allocation opportunities of the copper plate. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the recent TC negotiation results of copper concentrates, frequent domestic policy warm winds, and the off-season destocking of domestic stocks have been resonantly catalyzed, superimposed with the fall of the US dollar. We believe that the short-term copper price rebound has a foundation and the medium-term fundamental expectations are more solid. We predict that the copper price in the next quarter will run in the range of 9000-10000 USD/ton, which has strong upward elasticity in the short term. It is suggested to pay attention to the allocation opportunities of copper plate. It is suggested to comprehensively select stocks from the dimensions of segment valuation rationality, output growth next year and copper price elasticity.
Thirteen companies disclosed the progress of repurchase, among which Green Energy Huichong and Ruike had the highest amount of laser repurchase plans. On December 13th, a total of 13 companies issued announcements on stock repurchase. Among them, two companies disclosed the stock repurchase plan for the first time, four companies disclosed the progress of the implementation of stock repurchase, and seven companies have completed the implementation of the repurchase plan. Judging from the initial disclosure of the repurchase plan, Green Energy Huichong and Ruike Laser have the highest amount of repurchase plans, with the planned repurchase not exceeding 1.115 million yuan and 487,900 yuan respectively. Judging from the implementation progress of repurchase, Yuanli Technology, Jiuli Special Materials and Jack have the highest share repurchase amounts, with 33.1077 million yuan, 30.9807 million yuan and 3.2323 million yuan respectively. Judging from the completed repurchase, a total of one company repurchased more than 10 million on that day. Aerospace Rainbow, Aerospace Rainbow and Guanshi Technology have completed the highest repurchase amount, with 33.2989 million yuan, 2.479 million yuan and 2.1642 million yuan respectively.The UN Secretary-General is deeply concerned about the extensive violation of Syrian sovereignty. On the 12th, UN Secretary-General Guterres issued a statement through spokesman Dujaric, expressing deep concern about the recent extensive violation of Syrian sovereignty and territorial integrity, especially the hundreds of Israeli air strikes against Syria. The statement said that the Disengagement of Forces Agreement signed in 1974 is still valid. Guterres condemned all violations of the agreement and called on all parties to fulfill their relevant obligations, including ending all unauthorized presence in the isolation zone and avoiding any actions that undermine the ceasefire and stability in the Golan Heights. (Xinhua News Agency)Soochow securities: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December. According to the soochow securities Research Report, the CPI of the United States rebounded to +2.75% in November as scheduled, and the CPI that did not exceed expectations cleared the last obstacle for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. In the short term, the combination of low base and high viscosity means that CPI is expected to continue to rebound to +2.8% in December. In the medium term, Trump is expected to drive out illegal immigrants on the first day after taking office, which will aggravate the risk of stagflation in the labor market. However, the intensification of wage inflation stickiness may be concealed by the downward movement of non-agricultural centers in the same period, the expectation of increasing oil prices and the high base in the first half of 2025. The market's concern about "stagnation" may provide room for the Fed to cut interest rates smoothly in the first half of 2025. However, in the second half of 2025, the cumulative interest rate cuts will give support to the economy, the persistence of inflation stickiness and the landing of Trump's tax reduction policy will force the Fed to cut interest rates. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December, 25bps in March and June next year, and stop cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. The end point of the policy interest rate in 2025 is [3.75,4.0]%.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14